Sunday, February 3, 2008

The Recap: 02.05.08

2-4. Not bad for the first weekend, but ain't nobody making no money that way. Let's take a quick look at the results, then we'll get to our picks of the day, and a little rant on The General.

The Winners

Kentucky over Georgia

If anybody is interested in a side bet, I'm wagering Kentucky (10-9) will make the Big Dance. They still have to travel to Vandy, Tenn, and USC (what the hell, on March 5?), but if they win two of three of these, lose only one other conference game, the Wildcats will find themselves at 18-11 headed into the SEC Tourney. Make it to the Championship game, lose to the Vol's, and the Selection Committee punches UK's ticket with twenty wins. That's a thin limb from which I dangle, but with the SEC down a bit this year, I feel the run's a comin'.

Purdue over Illinois

Speaking of mediocre conferences, the Big Ten's RPI (according to the much-acclaimed Mr Pomeroy) is the worst of the BCS schools. And when Purdue is tied for first at 8-1, you know something weird is going on. These Boilermakers are very young, and relatively deep, with nine players averaging 20+ minutes (four freshman, two soph's). Purdue has a chance to make some true believers this weekend at Wisconsin, and three days later hosting Michigan State. We'll be checking those lines when they're posted.

The Losers

Marquette over Cincy

What happened to my Bearcats? The Golden Eagles have sucked on the road, and Cincy was actually showing a little moxie in the Big East? What happened was Ousmane Barro, who had season highs in minutes and points, and tied his season high in rebounds, using his size to confound Cronin's squad. Tom Crean played his cards precisely, and got the much-needed road win Marquette needed. Then they got smoked at home by the 'Ville last night. The Big East is a wreck.

Youclu over Arizona

My bad. Overrated the Bayless/Budinger brigade and the 'Zona D. Underrated "The Love" and his trio of heroes: Collison, Shipp, and especially Westbrook. My bad.

Texas over Baylor, Davidson over Chattanooga

Off by a point or two in both of these games. Respectable, but not acceptable. There are no good losses!! Betting against the Longhorns at home was risky; betting the Moc's over Davidson a gut shot in the dark. That's why they call it gambling, kids.

Picks o' the Day
A couple of mid-major's for ya...

Butler (-3.0) over Valparaiso

Butler has had ten days to prepare for this game, and though they have had a couple of stumbles on the road this year in the Horizon, I think the Bulldogs will take care of business.

Drake over Illinois State (-4.0)

I like Drake. Going against last week's theory (Davidson) that a team is bound to lose one in-conference game, I'm betting this ain't the one. And if it is, it will be a buzzer-beater.

We'll get to The General tomorrow. The whisky is starting to kick in, and I've gotta get to work.

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