Sunday 'Cap
My poor Bearcats. My poor, poor Bearcats. I know they're not a good team by any stretch of the imagination. But come on, losing at home to Providence?
The Friars were suffering through a five game losing streak, had lost 9 of their past 10 games, and had only won twice on the road all season (though one of those wins was an impressive show at UConn). If Cincy can't handle a team such as this at Fifth Third Arena, they ain't got a prayer of stealing a game in the Big East tourney. Bearcat nation, we'll chat next fall.
I offer similar regards to the UK faithful. With Patterson out, a run to the SEC final seems impossible. But the conference is weaker than the Big East this year, and it wouldn't completely surprise me to see a rematch with Tennessee in the semis. If they could pull that off in Atlanta, an auto-bid would be within reach.
At least the Wildcats beat the spread, keeping me hovering above .500 at 21-20-3. There are a couple of games I'm tempted by this evening...
Pittsburg @ West Virginia (-5.5)
It's the Mountaineers' Senior Night, and Huggy-Bear will have his team primed. But I don't like their chances to cover the spread. Pittsburg hasn't been strong on the road, losing their last three. But all of those losses have been against top teams in the Big East. West Virgina has built it's resume by defeating the weaker of the conference. Their only quality win was against Marquette early in league play. Actually, the only team Pitt has taken out above .500 in the Big East is Georgetown. Welp, blows that argument.
So we'll call this a gut call. Both teams are evenly matched, and are playing for tourney consideration. Home court advantage obviously goes to WVU, but I say this one ends with a buzzer-beater. Mountaineers by 2.
Texas Tech @ Kansas (-19.5)
Let's call upon my new-favorite mantra: too many points. Kansas doesn't need to win this by twenty. Coach Self will call off the dogs (aka Jayhawks) nursing a comfortable lead with six minutes left. Or Tech goes into this with some confidence after stunning rival Texas, and actually keeps this fairly close. History is not on my side in this prediction. According to LLC Stats, "Texas Tech has never won in nine trips to Lawrence, losing its last five visits by an average of 28.8 points." But I'm banking the Red Raiders are buying into "Baby-Knight-Ball", the run-and-gun style which took out the Longhorns. Won't work, but keeps them under the spread. KU by 15.
More picks on the flip-A.B.
Monday, March 3, 2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment